Abstract
Market models, which reflect stylized properties of the interest rate term structure, are widely used for modeling and pricing interest rate derivatives. We consider a market model involving the short rate and a global stock portfolio. We illustrate the stylized properties of the interest rate term structure implied by a system of stochastic differential equations specifying the short rate and the discounted stock index under the benchmark approach. Comparison with empirical evidence, particularly 10- and 30-year treasury bond yields, demonstrates the explanatory power of a discounted stock index modeled by a squared Bessel process. This paper discusses how models of the short rate and discounted stock index clarify the shape of the yield curve. It finds that a discounted stock index modeled by a squared Bessel process explains 10- and 30-year treasury bond yields effectively. The results help practitioners estimate long-term bond yields for valuing pension and life insurance liabilities, reducing required reserves. The study shows these models capture features like an upward-sloping yield curve and swap rate volatility hump, providing empirical support for using a squared Bessel process for long-term bond yields. Its originality is in applying the benchmark approach and comparing model outcomes with observed data.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 2650012 |
| Pages (from-to) | 1-33 |
| Number of pages | 33 |
| Journal | Annals of Financial Economics |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 17 Jun 2026 |
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