Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation

Tilak Abeysinghe, Gulasekaran Rajaguru

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

58 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The growing affluence of the East and Southeast Asian economies has come about through a substantial increase in their economic links with the rest of the world, the OECD economies in particular. Econometric studies that try to quantify these links face a severe shortage of high-frequency time series data for China and the group of ASEAN4 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand). In this paper we provide quarterly real GDP estimates for these countries derived by applying the Chow-Lin related series technique to annual real GDP series. The quality of the disaggregated series is evaluated through a number of indirect methods. Some potential problems of using readily available univariate disaggregation techniques are also highlighted.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)431-447
Number of pages17
JournalJournal of Forecasting
Volume23
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2004

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Forecast Evaluation
Gross Domestic Product
Time series
China
disaggregation
Economics
affluence
economy
Series
OECD
econometrics
evaluation
Philippines
Estimate
Thailand
Indonesia
shortage
Malaysia
time series
High-frequency Data

Cite this

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Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation. / Abeysinghe, Tilak; Rajaguru, Gulasekaran.

In: Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 23, No. 6, 09.2004, p. 431-447.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

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