Abstract
Past production choices and short-term seasonal weather forecasts have directed food and fibre production, inhibiting preparedness for operating under a changed climate, which requires longer planning horizons.
This paper qualifies model uncertainty of a temporal dynamic agricultural tool – a spatiotemporal optimiser of rotation sequences (STORS). A generic framework connects abiotic parameters with biotic attributes, allowing the evolutionary algorithm, STORS, to generate Pareto-optimal land use alternatives from which farms and regional planners can select. A case study of the Murrumbidgee
Irrigation Area (MIA) is used, where five agricultural production systems, across six soil types, under five water scenarios is investigated.
Outcomes will facilitate answering two key research questions 1) Can STORS identify feasible rotation sequences? 2) Is there a temporal shift in crop species under a changed climate?
This paper qualifies model uncertainty of a temporal dynamic agricultural tool – a spatiotemporal optimiser of rotation sequences (STORS). A generic framework connects abiotic parameters with biotic attributes, allowing the evolutionary algorithm, STORS, to generate Pareto-optimal land use alternatives from which farms and regional planners can select. A case study of the Murrumbidgee
Irrigation Area (MIA) is used, where five agricultural production systems, across six soil types, under five water scenarios is investigated.
Outcomes will facilitate answering two key research questions 1) Can STORS identify feasible rotation sequences? 2) Is there a temporal shift in crop species under a changed climate?
Original language | English |
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Pages | 1-4 |
Number of pages | 4 |
Publication status | Published - 2024 |
Event | 21st Australian Agronomy Conference - Albany Exhibition Centre, Australia Duration: 21 Oct 2024 → 24 Oct 2024 https://www.agronomyaustralia.org/2024-conference-western-australia |
Conference
Conference | 21st Australian Agronomy Conference |
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Country/Territory | Australia |
Period | 21/10/24 → 24/10/24 |
Other | The 21st Australian Agronomy Conference is being managed by a team from the Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development, CSIRO, Murdoch University, Curtin University, University of Western Australia and Australian Association of Agricultural Consultants WA and will be held from 21-24 October, 2024 at the Albany Exhibition Centre. The conference theme is ‘Adaptive agronomy for a resilient future’. The conference will present and discuss research on the management of grain crops, fibre crops, pastures, livestock and horticultural crops across Australia. The conference has a focus on agronomic research and practices that enhance the profitability, and resilience of farming; and includes research that focusses on future Economic Social Governance requirements around climate change, carbon emissions reduction, biodiversity, and social license. |
Internet address |