Modeling the risk and return relation conditional on market volatility and market conditions

Don U.A. Galagedera*, Robert Faff

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the risk-return relation varies, depending on changing market volatility and up/down market conditions. Three market regimes based on the level of conditional volatility of market returns are specified -"low", "neutral" and "high". The market model is extended to allow for these three market regimes and a three-beta asset-pricing model is developed. For a set of US industry sector indices using a cross-sectional regression, we find that the beta risk premium in the three market volatility regimes is priced. These significant results are uncovered only in the pricing model that accommodates up/down market conditions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)75-95
Number of pages21
JournalInternational Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
Volume8
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2005
Externally publishedYes

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