Long Term Implications of Climate Change on Crop Planning

Andrew Lewis, Marcus Randall, Sean Elliott, James Montgomery

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)
18 Downloads (Pure)


The effects of climate change have been much speculated on
in the past few years. Consequently, there has been intense interest in
one of its key issues of food security into the future. This is particularly
so given population increase, urban encroachment on arable land, and
the degradation of the land itself. Recently, work has been done on predicting
precipitation and temperature for the next few decades as well
as developing optimisation models for crop planning. Combining these
together, this paper examines the effects of climate change on a large
food producing region in Australia, the Murrumbidgee Irrigation Area.
For time periods between 1991 and 2071 for dry, average and wet years,
an analysis is made about the way that crop mixes will need to change
to adapt for the eects of climate change. It is found that sustainable
crop choices will change into the future, and that large-scale irrigated
agriculture may become unviable in the region in all but the wettest
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationComputational Science – ICCS 2019
EditorsJoão M.F. Rodrigues, Pedro J.S. Cardoso, Jânio Monteiro, Roberto Lam, Valeria V. Krzhizhanovskaya, Michael H. Lees, Peter M.A. Sloot, Jack J. Dongarra
Place of PublicationCham
Number of pages14
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-030-22750-0
ISBN (Print)9783030227333
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 8 Jun 2019
EventThe 19th International Conference on Computational Science: Computational Science in the Interconnected World - Faro, Portugal
Duration: 12 Jun 201914 Jun 2019
Conference number: 19th

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science
ISSN (Print)0302-9743


ConferenceThe 19th International Conference on Computational Science
Abbreviated titleICCS 2019
OtherThe International Conference on Computational Science is an annual conference that brings together researchers and scientists from mathematics and computer science as basic computing disciplines, researchers from various application areas who are pioneering computational methods in sciences such as physics, chemistry, life sciences, and engineering, as well as in arts and humanitarian fields, to discuss problems and solutions in the area, to identify new issues, and to shape future directions for research.

The theme for ICCS 2019 is “Computational Science in the Interconnected World”, to highlight the role of Computational Science in an increasingly interconnected world. This conference will be a unique event focusing on recent developments in: scalable scientific algorithms; advanced software tools; computational grids; advanced numerical methods; and novel application areas. These innovative novel models, algorithms and tools drive new science through efficient application in areas such as physical systems, computational and systems biology, environmental systems, finance, and others.
Internet address

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  • Related Projects

    • 1 Not started

    Climate-aware Sustainable Crop Planning Approaches for Australia

    Randall, M., mackey, B., Montgomery, J. & Lewis, A.

    1/01/21 → …

    Project: Research

    Related Research Outputs

    • 1 Citations
    • 2 Conference contribution

    A Computational Comparison of Evolutionary Algorithms for Water Resource Planning for Agricultural and Environmental Purposes

    Montgomery, J., Fitzgerald, A., Randall, M. & Lewis, A., 28 Sep 2018, 2018 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, CEC 2018 - Proceedings. IEEE Computer Society, 8477712

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer-review

    Open Access
  • 2 Citations (Scopus)
    139 Downloads (Pure)

    Constrained optimisation of agricultural water management with parameter-sensitive objectives

    Lewis, A., Randall, M., Capon, S. & Jackwitz, E., 2017, Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Computer Applications (ICCA 2017). Yangon, Myanmar, p. 79-85 7 p.

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionResearchpeer-review

  • Cite this

    Lewis, A., Randall, M., Elliott, S., & Montgomery, J. (2019). Long Term Implications of Climate Change on Crop Planning. In J. M. F. Rodrigues, P. J. S. Cardoso, J. Monteiro, R. Lam, V. V. Krzhizhanovskaya, M. H. Lees, P. M. A. Sloot, & J. J. Dongarra (Eds.), Computational Science – ICCS 2019 (Vol. V, pp. 369-382). (Lecture Notes in Computer Science; Vol. 11540). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22734-0_27