TY - JOUR
T1 - Impact of behavioural risk factors on death within 10 years for women and men in their 70s: Absolute risk charts
AU - Dobson, Annette
AU - McLaughlin, Deirdre
AU - Almeida, Osvaldo
AU - Brown, Wendy
AU - Byles, Julie
AU - Flicker, Leon
AU - Leung, Janni
AU - Lopez, Derrick
AU - McCaul, Kieran
AU - Hankey, Graeme J.
N1 - Funding Information:
The Men, Women and Ageing project is funded by a National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia /Australian Research Council Ageing Well, Ageing Productively Strategic Award (409953). The Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health is funded by the Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing. The Health in Men Study is supported by grants from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (project grant numbers 279408, 379600, 403963). The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; or preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - Background: Estimates of the absolute risk of death based on the combined effects of sex, age and health behaviours are scarce for elderly people. The aim of this paper is to calculate population based estimates and display them using simple charts that may be useful communication tools for public health authorities, health care providers and policy makers. Methods. Data were drawn from two concurrent prospective observational cohort studies of community-based older Australian women (N=7,438) and men (N=6,053) aged 71 to 79. The outcome measure was death within ten years. The predictor variables were: sex, age, smoking status, alcohol consumption, body mass index and physical activity. Results: Patterns of risks were similar in men and women but absolute risk of death was between 9 percentage points higher in men (17%) than in women (8%) in the lowest risk group (aged 71-73years, never smoked, overweight, physically active and consumed alcohol weekly) and 21% higher in men (73-74%) than women (51-52%) in the highest risk group (aged 77-79years, normal weight or obese, current smoker, physically inactive and drink alcohol less than weekly). Conclusions: These absolute risk charts provide a tool for understanding the combined effects of behavioural risk factors for death among older people.
AB - Background: Estimates of the absolute risk of death based on the combined effects of sex, age and health behaviours are scarce for elderly people. The aim of this paper is to calculate population based estimates and display them using simple charts that may be useful communication tools for public health authorities, health care providers and policy makers. Methods. Data were drawn from two concurrent prospective observational cohort studies of community-based older Australian women (N=7,438) and men (N=6,053) aged 71 to 79. The outcome measure was death within ten years. The predictor variables were: sex, age, smoking status, alcohol consumption, body mass index and physical activity. Results: Patterns of risks were similar in men and women but absolute risk of death was between 9 percentage points higher in men (17%) than in women (8%) in the lowest risk group (aged 71-73years, never smoked, overweight, physically active and consumed alcohol weekly) and 21% higher in men (73-74%) than women (51-52%) in the highest risk group (aged 77-79years, normal weight or obese, current smoker, physically inactive and drink alcohol less than weekly). Conclusions: These absolute risk charts provide a tool for understanding the combined effects of behavioural risk factors for death among older people.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84865050269&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1186/1471-2458-12-669
DO - 10.1186/1471-2458-12-669
M3 - Article
C2 - 22917089
AN - SCOPUS:84865050269
SN - 1471-2458
VL - 12
JO - BMC Public Health
JF - BMC Public Health
IS - 1
M1 - 669
ER -
