Abstract
We extend the empirical analysis of hot hands in sports to horse racing, using the winning streaks of a sample of jockeys riding in Australia. Grouping jockeys by strike rate (win percentage), we find evidence of hot hands across almost all strike rates. But considering jockeys individually, only a minority exhibit hot hands. A wagering strategy based on hot hands yields a negative return overall and for most hot hand jockeys, although some do yield a positive return. We conclude that hot hands are present but not ubiquitous and that this is generally recognised in the betting market.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 223-239 |
Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | Australian Journal of Management |
Volume | 45 |
Issue number | 2 |
Early online date | 2 Nov 2019 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 May 2020 |